Most intelligence and security programs say they teach critical thinking. What they usually teach is explanation.
A common classroom model looks like this:
Students are given a historical case or hypothetical scenario. They read background material, learn the relevant theories, and write a paper explaining what went wrong or what an analyst should have done. The focus is on comprehension, terminology, and retrospective clarity. The problem is already solved. The uncertainty has been removed.
This builds knowledge. It does not build judgment.
Now contrast that with how the Intelligence and Data Analysis (IDA) program at Hilbert College runs the same problem.
Students are not told the outcome. They are given incomplete, sometimes contradictory data. Sources vary in reliability. Information arrives out of sequence. Some details matter. Some are noise. Students must decide what they trust, what they doubt, and what they still do not know.
They are required to produce an assessment anyway.
Students must articulate assumptions, identify intelligence gaps, defend their reasoning, and clearly state their confidence level. They are graded not on whether they guessed the “right” answer, but on how rigorously they thought under uncertainty.
Artificial intelligence is introduced at this stage as well. Students run the same data through AI systems and then compare the machine output to their own analysis. They learn quickly that AI can be helpful, persuasive, and dangerously confident all at once. The lesson is not how to use AI faster, but how to use it responsibly without surrendering judgment.
This applied approach changes how students think. They stop looking for perfect information. They become comfortable making provisional judgments. They learn that uncertainty is not a flaw in analysis but a condition of reality that must be communicated honestly.
Theory still matters in IDA. It provides structure, vocabulary, and discipline. But it is never the end state. Theory is a tool in service of action.
In the real world, no one asks analysts to explain events after they happen. They are asked to make sense of what is unfolding, with limited time and imperfect data.
That is the environment IDA is built to replicate.
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Jonathan Sullivan
Assistant Professor